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Governor races: Kalshi has Democrats favored in 22 of 36, including 5 GOP-held seats. Vermont, Florida and Texas are the closest Republican holds
As of about 6 AM ET on Election Day, Kalshi contract prices favor Democrats in 22 of the 36 governor races on the ballot. That count includes five seats Republicans hold now: Alaska (Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, 90%), Iowa (Rob Sand, 88%), Ohio (Amy…
Election Day House odds: Lawler-Conley in NY-17 is a near coin flip; markets lean Democratic in PA-1 and Montana
Prediction markets point to a Democratic House majority (Kalshi about 94%), but a handful of individual races are still close. Kalshi contract prices as of about 3 AM ET Tuesday, showing the chance the Democrat wins:
Former El-Sayed campaign organizer is among 12 now indicted in federal case over threats to U-M officials and Detroit's Jewish Federation
Federal prosecutors in Michigan have now indicted 12 people in an alleged campaign of threats and vandalism aimed at forcing the University of Michigan to cut ties with Israel. Targets included university officials, businesses and the Jewish…
Election night guide: when polls close in each state (Eastern Time) and when the key Senate races could report
Election Day is here, and polls open this morning (as early as 5 or 6 a.m. in the Northeast). On the ballot: all 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats and 36 governorships are on the ballot. Here is when the last polls close in each state, in Eastern…
DOJ charges 63 people in 15 states with election crimes on the eve of the midterms
The Justice Department on Monday announced charges against 63 people in 15 states for illegal voting, fraudulent voter registration and false claims of U.S. citizenship to register or vote. The department said four of those charged are in the…
What traders are pricing for control of Congress
As of about 6 AM ET on Election Day, Polymarket share prices implied a 94.5% chance Democrats win the House and a 76.5% chance they win the Senate, down a point from 3 AM. On Kalshi, Democratic House control traded at 94% and Senate control at 76%.